OT: Another storm gonna whack FL

MtNittany

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Oct 12, 2021
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Yes. That's why angle of approach and actual landfall location are huge. Tampa needs landfall south of them so the wind isn't piling water into the bay
Talking to my friend (PSUer) on Longboat Key yesterday. He's seen the bays empty and people walk out on them when the storm winds blow to the west. Unfortunately, that ain't happening and there's an endless source of water to toss on the mainland.
 
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PSU87

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I don't remember many west to east storms crossing FL. Lots of east to west ones though. Parts of the west coast are going to get battered. Again. But the east coast could see 90 mph winds. Everything is backwards. The bad/good side of the storm is reversed for the east coast.
Ian in 2022, Charley in 2004, Wilma in 2005 come to mind.
 

PSU87

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I can’t imagine having to evacuate all the time. I sure hope Fl does not get hit too bad.
"All the time" depends a lot on where in FL. I've lived 2 blocks from the ocean for 20 years, and have evacuated 4 times (2 of them in one year, 2004).
Until Nicole hit in 2022, the last landfalling hurricane on the East Coast of Florida was Katrina in 2005. That's 16 years without a hit, and Nicole was a glorified tropical storm.

Tampa hasn't been hit by a major hurricane since 1921. My in laws in St Pete are evacuating for Milton making it only the 2nd time in 20 years they've evacuated.

SW FL and Pandhandle ate a different story...
 
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bdgan

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Latest Euro Model. Landfall should be Thursday morning. Be on your toes and make your preps PSU Floridians.

What happened to hurricanes coming up the east coast? These days they all seem to be in the gulf.
 

GreggK

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May 25, 2022
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I had a question for all of the "experts" on the board. And yes, I put quotes on there damnit.

From looking at the origin of Milton, it seems it actually formed in the Gulf of Mexico rather than in the Atlantic like most Hurricanes I have paid attention to do. How typical is it that a Hurricane comes from that direction rather than from the Atlantic? Or did it in fact originate in the Atlantic as a smaller storm and just grow in the gulf?
 

PSU87

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I had a question for all of the "experts" on the board. And yes, I put quotes on there damnit.

From looking at the origin of Milton, it seems it actually formed in the Gulf of Mexico rather than in the Atlantic like most Hurricanes I have paid attention to do. How typical is it that a Hurricane comes from that direction rather than from the Atlantic? Or did it in fact originate in the Atlantic as a smaller storm and just grow in the gulf?
Very typical. Early season, most hurricanes develop coming off the coast of Africa. Late season activity shifts more to the Gulf
 

GreggK

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May 25, 2022
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Very typical. Early season, most hurricanes develop coming off the coast of Africa. Late season activity shifts more to the Gulf

Got it. As someone who lives in NJ, I tend to pay attention to the Atlantic ones more much I guess.
Thanks for the reply!
 
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MtNittany

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Anyone in FL - watch this. Always watch Mike and always check the storm2k.org message boards. Ignore the weather channel and rely on local news.

 
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Bwifan

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I had a question for all of the "experts" on the board. And yes, I put quotes on there damnit.

From looking at the origin of Milton, it seems it actually formed in the Gulf of Mexico rather than in the Atlantic like most Hurricanes I have paid attention to do. How typical is it that a Hurricane comes from that direction rather than from the Atlantic? Or did it in fact originate in the Atlantic as a smaller storm and just grow in the gulf?
There is a lot to unravel in your question. First much of Milton actually came over the mountains from the pacific and formed in the caribbean. Regarding where storms start/develop and where they end, there are so many factors that go into that.... Upper level winds act as a steering mechanism, approaching fronts from the opposite direction, placement of high and low pressure systems in the U.S. and where they go or stall.... the NAO (north atlantic oscillation) affects hurricanes. There are so many factors that is why there is always a large cone, plus as a hurricane strengthens it at times almost dictates where it wants to go.....
 

slwlion01

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Jul 24, 2023
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Jeanne was the worst for me. I feared Andrew more, but it veered way south. Jeanne was moving at 1mph w/ 90mph sustained. That and Frances had me w/out power for about 20 days.
I lived in Key largo when Andrew struck, Evac to Cape Coral, returned the next day. It was awful. I'm born and raised in S Florida, never saw anything like that devastation. Almost nothing kin Key largo.:cry:
 
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MtNittany

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I lived in Key largo when Andrew struck, Evac to Cape Coral, returned the next day. It was awful. I'm born and raised in S Florida, never saw anything like that devastation. Almost nothing kin Key largo.:cry:
I went w/ a friend to Homestead to help his parents. He grew up there and couldn't find the house. Since then they paint street names on the curbs.

Andrew ripped the weather station off the roof of the NHC building. Winds could have been 225 mph. We'll never know. Stuff like this doesn't happen in tropical storms though:

 

LaJollaCreek

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95N is already backed up south of Jacksonville to a crawl. Water on the shelves is running out at least at the Publix I just went to, but I'm sure it's like that everywhere. It's a **it show already for the most part. Friends in Fort Meyers are having trouble finding gas already.
 
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MtNittany

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95N is already backed up south of Jacksonville to a crawl. Water on the shelves is running out at least at the Publix I just went to, but I'm sure it's like that everywhere. It's a **it show already for the most part. Friends in Fort Meyers are having trouble finding gas already.
If I was in Tampa area, I'd head to Everglades City. Should be ok and plenty of square grouper probably.
 

Bwifan

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If I was in Tampa area, I'd head to Everglades City. Should be ok and plenty of square grouper probably.
My grandparents had a place on Chokoloskee Island right there. Some of the best fishing in the world there. Also where many of the stone crab boats go out of....
 

MtNittany

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My grandparents had a place on Chokoloskee Island right there. Some of the best fishing in the world there. Also where many of the stone crab boats go out of....
You ever watch the Docu Square Grouper? Worth the watch like Cocaine Cowboys.
 

Bwifan

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You ever watch the Docu Square Grouper? Worth the watch like Cocaine Cowboys.
No I haven't see that. Will put it on my to do list. Also saw they just ordered mandatory evacuations at Chokoloskee and Collier county
 

MtNittany

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No I haven't see that. Will put it on my to do list. Also saw they just ordered mandatory evacuations at Chokoloskee and Collier county
I've actually been to Chokoloskee on a turf appointment on the way back from Naples on another appointment (prolly 20 years ago). I thought the whole area was cool. I went to the bar they filmed some of the documentary at.
 
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Bwifan

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I've actually been to Chokoloskee on a turf appointment on the way back from Naples on another appointment (prolly 20 years ago). I thought the whole area was cool. I went to the bar they filmed some of the documentary at.
Cool little restaurant on Chokoloskee called Havana Cafe and I used to take my grandmother to City Seafood in Everglades City. I always load up on stone crabs when there because they are so cheap. We are planning a guys camping trip there this winter and kayak out to 10,000 islands and fish and hike all the islands for a long weekend. Dolphins swim next to your kayak paddling out from the ranger station. Beautiful area.... I miss going to visit my grandparents there.
 
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