This is me too. I'm optimistic that (related to ckDOG's comment) Trump and his team HAVE studied this tariff issue and will do more targeted tariffs and already have working plans for manufacturing in the US. I highly doubt he/they are just going into it willy-nilly and wildly throwing tariffs around without considering all that. I know glfr and horshack are going to disagree with my assumption about Trump's intent.
And about the overall tariffs on China and Mexico (and other countries he threatened), I think those are mostly negotiating tactics. He may even have to make some of them official to show he's serious, but I think the day they take effect, Mexico at least would start backing down. China may welcome the face off, who knows.
Overall, Trump is America first and is willing to face down other countries if he thinks it puts us in a better position long term, which I appreciate. I don't always like what he says or the way he says it, but I'd damn sure prefer his bluster to our recent approach of taking it up the rear while whispering "Don't".
Genuinely, I hope Trump and his Administration have studied the tariff issue and whatever changes they make will be targeted and will have sound reasoning behind the decisions.
If he is able to keep imported prices down while maintaining exported goods across the board and increasing exported goods in markets/industries that were lower before, well I will be really happy and I will gladly read all about the ways in which he and his Administration accomplished such an impressive challenge.
I have been very vocal on how disappointing I found the prior Administration when it came to explaining plans, explaining accomplishments, and acknowledging some issues which needed to be addressed.
I like the idea of a president that more directly acknowledges an issue hurting the US and calls out people/countries that are working to keep the hurtful issue alive.
Anyways, you are correct and I disagree with your confidence that Trump and his Administration have deeply studied the tariff issue. I think he is going into it 'willy-nilly and wildly throwing tariffs around without considering that'. I think he is doing that because he has a long history of doing that, and has not given me any reason to think he has changed.
You mention that the tariff threats may just be negotiating tactics. Perhaps that is true.
As I said before- when he gets something done he is praised for doing 'something', even if it is projected to be a negative for the country and even if it turns out to be a negative for the country. And when he has promised to do something then doesn't, the lack of accomplishment has often been hailed as a powerful bluff and claimed to no longer be needed. So he gets a 'win' either way.
You are setting yourself up for that very justification with these tariffs. You say you believe he will be smart about implementing them and you also say you believe the tariff threats to Mexico, China, and other countries are just a negotiating tactic. So whatever the outcome is- you will be able to justify it as a sound outcome. If he implements them, you will believe it was a well studied and reasoned decision. If he fails to implement them, you will believe he was using tariffs as a negotiating tactic and got us the best deal possible.
Thats the magic of giving someone a win for both doing and not doing what they promised to do.