The S&P just had it's best May since 2003

Boom Boom

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I think this is a good pace to remind everyone that Social Security is essentially an insurance policy, not a pension plan. We can of course debate whether this is a good thing or not, but this is the status quo.
I don't really see a difference. I would say it's not an investment, which people don't seem to get.
 
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dorndawg

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I don't really see a difference. I would say it's not an investment, which people don't seem to get.
Right - a pension plan (or investment) is yours (or your estate's). An insurance policy (generally) is not.
 

GloryDawg

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Did you all know that Barbara Bel Geddes was only nine years old when Larry Hagman was born, and Jim Davis was 22 years old when Larry Hagman was born? That means Mrs. Ellie was nine years old and Jock was 22 when JR was born. Just adding my point of view on the matter.
 

horshack.sixpack

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The stock market isn't the economy etc etc, and yet this run is pretty remarkable. Bulldogs hitting retirement this year looking pretty, pretty good.

Recent S&P returns:
1 year: 25%
5 year: 84%

It's because I had money parked in cash. You all owe me.***
 
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horshack.sixpack

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So what’s the answer to protect against whatever comes next? That’s all I really care about going forward. All I want is for my investments, and my home value, to not go down over the long haul. Doubt they will, as they never really have. This doomsday stuff always seems to be temporary.

I do think if people can tough out another 10-15 years, housing will improve significantly as the boomers die (not trying to be morbid boomers, just facts). A lot of housing comes back on the market, but it will need to be updated. But I would imagine demand will be lower. You really don’t want to buy into smaller 3D stamped houses and stuff that won’t appreciate, before that time.
I usually get hammered for suggesting people read, but this is a good one on the topic for those interested...

 
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thatsbaseball

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A promise that you'll get the benefits later doesn't mean you paid for the benefits.

I think most of the problem lies in SS being seen as not a transfer payment program. I guess govt shares some of the blame in that, but seems like something individual politicians were pushing, not the actual government.
So what ? We entered into a contract with our government that if we paid an amount that the government stipulated for the time they stipulated we would get we would receive these benefits. We didn't set the price and we couldn't opt out but yet you are implying we did something wrong. So are we wrong now to expect the government to hold up their end of the contract that they made and forced us into ? I don't get what you're trying to say.
 

dorndawg

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So what ? We entered into a contract with our government that if we paid an amount that the government stipulated for the time they stipulated we would get we would receive these benefits. We didn't set the price and we couldn't opt out but yet you are implying we did something wrong. So are we wrong now to expect the government to hold up their end of the contract that they made and forced us into ? I don't get what you're trying to say.
It's so odd to me when people act like The Government is some other, independent entity. In America, it's literally... just us. We can make it do whatever we collectively want.
 

horshack.sixpack

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You weren't promised that you could "invest" in these programs. You were offered the opportunity to deceive yourself and you took it.

The fact that social security was a glorified ponzi scheme with better guns behind it was talked about in the 2000 presidential election. I suspect it was probably discussed during the 1982 "fix" also.
They were the generation that was caught between the 40 years a gold watch and a pension generation and a the 401k or you're screwed generation. A lot of boomers had to get very thrifty from their 40's up when they realized that SS was a joke and they had to offset by leveraging every retirement investment possible. Kind of a crappy learning experience if you ask me.

I've known since I started work that it was my 401k and me. If SS is around when I retire, I'll consider it a miracle. I'm not saying that I know I'll have enough to retire when I want, but that I've done everything I can to prepare for me being responsible for my own retirement.
 
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horshack.sixpack

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So if we can't blame this president, how far back do we have to go? I forgot just the previous administration. That is the standard protocol.

If we really want to be honest, it started a long time ago. It's just fun to blame it on the previous White House Regime.
Well, I could post data the suggests that the economy is largely decoupled from the party in power, but we don't like information much. I do think that if we had an adult in office for the COVID response, we would be in better shape than we are now.
 

dorndawg

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They were the generation that was caught between the 40 years a gold watch and a pension generation and a the 401k or you're screwed generation. A lot of boomers had to get very thrifty from their 40's up when they realized that SS was a joke and they had to offset by leveraging every retirement investment possible. Kind of a crappy learning experience if you ask me.

I've known since I started work that it was my 401k and me. If SS is around when I retire, I'll consider it a miracle. I'm not saying that I know I'll have enough to retire when I want, but that I've done everything I can to prepare for me being responsible for my own retirement.
I hear so much variation on "if SS is around". If it were to default, the American dollars backed by the same Full Faith And Credit in your 401k etc are also taking a BEATING. Sure, it may be adjusted in ways we don't like, but it's either going to be around, or none of us are retiring.

There just isn't a scenario where SS goes away and our other retirement vehicles are status quo.
 
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horshack.sixpack

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I hear so much variation on "if SS is around", including from smart folks like you. If it were to default, the American dollars backed by the same Full Faith And Credit in your 401k etc are also taking a BEATING. Sure, it may be adjusted in ways we don't like, but it's either going to be around, or none of us are retiring.

There just isn't a scenario where SS goes away and our other retirement vehicles are status quo.
I don't mean completely disappear, but contribute in a meaningful way to my retirement needs is a better statement.
 
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mstateglfr

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Therein lies the problem. The payments aren’t split. The person that earned the payment continues to get 100% while non-earner gets another 50%. My gripe with this isn’t so much about whether the average person believes this is right or not because opinions will always vary there. My gripe is that the system was never set up to be able to fund these levels of payouts, hence the mass underfunding problem that’s now in our hands while all the boomer generation can do is tell us good luck


Well thats bonkers. Thanks for learning me something today.
 
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thatsbaseball

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It's so odd to me when people act like The Government is some other, independent entity. In America, it's literally... just us. We can make it do whatever we collectively want.
LOL The last time this country did anything "collectively" was WWII .
 

johnson86-1

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Aug 22, 2012
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I think this is a good pace to remind everyone that Social Security is essentially an insurance policy, not a pension plan. We can of course debate whether this is a good thing or not, but this is the status quo.
The disability and survivors part is something like an insurance policy. The retirement benefits nothing but a welfare program.
 

Boom Boom

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So what ? We entered into a contract with our government that if we paid an amount that the government stipulated for the time they stipulated we would get we would receive these benefits. We didn't set the price and we couldn't opt out but yet you are implying we did something wrong. So are we wrong now to expect the government to hold up their end of the contract that they made and forced us into ? I don't get what you're trying to say.
There's no contract. Just a promise.

When a Boomer contends they paid for the benefits they are now receiving, they are not making a true statement. Due to demographics, they paid into the system when the cost was cheap, and now are receiving benefits when the cost is high. Part of the bill was passed to the next generations.
 

johnson86-1

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Well thats bonkers. Thanks for learning me something today.
Yea, two working spouses get screwed compared to couples with one working spouse, and especially compared to earners that have more than one non-working spouse or ex spouse taking spousal benefits.

I told my wife that about ten years out from retirement age I was going to divorce her and marry somebody younger to maximize the amount of benefits we get back from social security, and she was completely illogical about it. I guess she's librul and just is fine with both of us getting screwed by the government on SS.**
 

johnson86-1

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Aug 22, 2012
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I hear so much variation on "if SS is around". If it were to default, the American dollars backed by the same Full Faith And Credit in your 401k etc are also taking a BEATING. Sure, it may be adjusted in ways we don't like, but it's either going to be around, or none of us are retiring.

There just isn't a scenario where SS goes away and our other retirement vehicles are status quo.
Certainly correct that there are going to be some painful adjustments everywhere when we are forced to acknowledge reality, but SS won't default. It will just payout what money comes in. If it ever does less than that, it will be because congress passes a law to change the benefit formula. Most likely we will get some combination of cuts in other programs. Whether that is better or worse for the other investments in my 401k will depend on what investments are in there at the time and probably be pretty unpredictable regardless.

But none of that will deal with the full faith and credit unless we stupidly and insanely decide to default on bond obligations rather than cut benefit payments (which as a population we are probably stupid enough to do but not guaranteed to do it).
 

thatsbaseball

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There's no contract. Just a promise.

When a Boomer contends they paid for the benefits they are now receiving, they are not making a true statement. Due to demographics, they paid into the system when the cost was cheap, and now are receiving benefits when the cost is high. Part of the bill was passed to the next generations.
We played by the rules and lived up to our end of the deal and expect the government to live up to theirs. Playing with semantics as you're doing won't changed the facts. I still have no idea what we (boomers) should have done or could do now about the situation. It appears to be that your beef should be with the government, not the people that simply did what they were told.
 

dorndawg

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Sep 10, 2012
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Certainly correct that there are going to be some painful adjustments everywhere when we are forced to acknowledge reality, but SS won't default. It will just payout what money comes in. If it ever does less than that, it will be because congress passes a law to change the benefit formula. Most likely we will get some combination of cuts in other programs. Whether that is better or worse for the other investments in my 401k will depend on what investments are in there at the time and probably be pretty unpredictable regardless.

But none of that will deal with the full faith and credit unless we stupidly and insanely decide to default on bond obligations rather than cut benefit payments (which as a population we are probably stupid enough to do but not guaranteed to do it).
I wish there was a way to give like half a like. The equivalent of when you wave with just the index finger, don’t even add a head knod.
 
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Maroon Eagle

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I wish there was a way to give like half a like. The equivalent of when you wave with just the index finger, don’t even add a head knod.
Yep.

The equivalent of “I don’t like what you’re saying but I agree with you.”

Or…

This Up Here GIF by Chord Overstreet
 
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Boom Boom

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We played by the rules and lived up to our end of the deal and expect the government to live up to theirs. Playing with semantics as you're doing won't changed the facts. I still have no idea what we (boomers) should have done or could do now about the situation. It appears to be that your beef should be with the government, not the people that simply did what they were told.
Ok, Boomer.

Dude, I'm telling you all you have to do. Just don't claim you paid for it.
 
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