12 CFP teams

[pseudonym]

Who do y'all think is in?

My 12 at the moment:

1-Ohio State
2-Alabama
3-Miami
4-Boise State
—
5-Texas
6-Georgia
7-Oregon
8-Penn State
9-Indiana
10-Notre Dame
11-Ole Miss
12-Colorado

It was close, but I put Ole Miss in over Tennessee. It will be interesting to see where the committee ranks these two teams on Tuesday.

If A&M beats Texas, I think that would be enough to have them jump Ole Miss.

 

[HuntDawg]

Going by the current and not the guess what may happen:

1. Oregon (big10 champ)
2. Texas (sec champ)
3. SMU/Miami (acc champ)
4. BYU/Colorado (big12 champ)

5. Ohio State
6. Indiana
7. Notre Dame
8. Alabama
9. Penn State
10. Ole Miss
11. Georgia
12 Group of 5- Boise

Tenn- 1st team out
Texas AM- 2nd team out

 

[dawgstudent]

If A&M beats Texas, I think that would be enough to have them jump Ole Miss.

A&M will make the playoff in that case. They will be in the SECCG if they beat Texas.

 

[Xenomorph]

Penn State at Minnesota this weeks feels like it could be close even though it's PSU -12.

When Ohio State torches Indiana Saturday they'll drop like a rock.

 

[pseudonym]

Tenn- 1st team out
Texas AM- 2nd team out

Agree on first and second teams out.

 

[WrightGuy821]

I understand the reasoning for allowing Notre Dame to be higher up in the ranks, but I feel like their home loss to NIU should cap them at the highest a 10 seed. I really hope Army beats them this weekend and puts them out of the race altogether.

 

[Bobby Ricigliano]

When Ohio State torches Indiana Saturday they'll drop like a rock.

That ain't happening...

 

[greenbean.sixpack]

So what happens when two 10-2 SEC teams (both a lock for the playoff) play in the championship game and one losses, thus going to 10-3? Sanke has said that an SEC championship game loss will not hurt a teams playoff chances, I guess we'll see.

During the SEC baseball tourney he also said we were a lock to host.

 

[patdog]

So what happens when two 10-2 SEC teams (both a lock for the playoff) play in the championship game and one losses, thus going to 10-3? Sanke has said that an SEC championship game loss will not hurt a teams playoff chances, I guess we'll see.

He also said we were a lock to host during the SEC baseball tourney.

Committee chairman was a lot more non-committal about that. Basically said he trusts the committee to sort that out. I think it really depends on who you lose to and how bad you lose, and where you were ranked before the game. Let's say Alabama loses a close game to Texas, I don't think they'd drop much. But if Georgia gets blown out by Texas A&M, they'd probably drop out.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

I won’t seed it out but I think the following get in:

Bama, Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss (I have Tennessee losing at Vandy to finish the year)

Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, Indiana

Notre Dame
SMU
Colorado
Boise State

 

[patdog]

I won’t seed it out but I think the following get in:

Bama, Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss (I have Tennessee losing at Vandy to finish the year)

Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, Indiana

Notre Dame
SMU
Colorado
Boise State

Tennessee isn't losing to Vanderbilt. But I think those are the 12. Real close between UGA, TN & Miss. for the last 2 spots, but I think TN is the one left out. Hoping the Florida Gators end all speculation Saturday.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

Tennessee isn't losing to Vanderbilt. But I think those are the 12. Real close between UGA, TN & Miss. for the last 2 spots, but I think TN is the one left out. Hoping the Florida Gators end all speculation Saturday.

Vandy has a win against Bama and a 3 point loss to Texas. UT isn’t nearly impressive enough for me to think Vandy can’t win that one.

 

[HuntDawg]

Vandy has a win against Bama and a 3 point loss to Texas. UT isn’t nearly impressive enough for me to think Vandy can’t win that one.

on the road in the sec i take nothing for granted.

Alabama at OU
Ole Miss at Florida
Texas AM at Auburn

all 3 could be close this weekend.... Tenn at Vandy, Texas at Texas AM

Wouldnt be a shocker to see at least 1 upset in those 5 games.

and that would clear up a lot of the SEC clutter.

 

[Perd Hapley]

So what happens when two 10-2 SEC teams (both a lock for the playoff) play in the championship game and one losses, thus going to 10-3? Sanke has said that an SEC championship game loss will not hurt a teams playoff chances, I guess we'll see.

During the SEC baseball tourney he also said we were a lock to host.

The conference championship game results cannot and will not be ignored, nor should they.

It’s simply impossible to do so, and there is a lot more to consider than just win / loss. You could lose your conference championship game 63-0, or you could lose by 1 point to the #1 team in the country on a blown call at the very end of the game. And everything in between.

 

[OG Goat Holder]

I won’t seed it out but I think the following get in:

Bama, Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss (I have Tennessee losing at Vandy to finish the year)

Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, Indiana

Notre Dame
SMU
Colorado
Boise State

Tennessee isn't losing to Vanderbilt. But I think those are the 12. Real close between UGA, TN & Miss. for the last 2 spots, but I think TN is the one left out. Hoping the Florida Gators end all speculation Saturday.

I'm surprised so many are thinking Miami will be left out. They have a blowout win over Florida, which will mean even more if Florida beats Ole Miss. In that case, will Tennessee at 10-2 get in over 11-1 Miami who plays in the ACC title game? And if they lose, it's to SMU.....also a playoff contender. Then heck, you have BYU also with a loud win over SMU (assuming Colorado wins Big 12).

I'm telling you I think there's a real chance that only Georgia, Alabama and the Texas/aTm winner get in (even though Ole Miss and Tennessee are both better than Texas and aTm). There's going to be some crying going on.

 

[85Bears]

Tennessee is the weakest team out of the contenders, their offense and Nico are shaky. I have ole miss at Florida as a toss up, wouldn’t surprise me if Vandy and Florida won. Texas didn’t look good against UPig and could have lost that game if Arkansas reciever doesn’t fumble in the second half. A&M can beat them.

 

[patdog]

Vandy has a win against Bama and a 3 point loss to Texas. UT isn’t nearly impressive enough for me to think Vandy can’t win that one.

The Bama game was a fluke, and Texas is pretty mediocre for their record. Vandy also has a loss to Georgia State and a blowout loss to South Carolina. The Vandy hype was over exaggerated.

 

[HuntDawg]

I'm surprised so many are thinking Miami will be left out. They have a blowout win over Florida, which will mean even more if Florida beats Ole Miss. In that case, will Tennessee at 10-2 get in over 11-1 Miami who plays in the ACC title game? And if they lose, it's to SMU.....also a playoff contender. Then heck, you have BYU also with a loud win over SMU (assuming Colorado wins Big 12).

I'm telling you I think there's a real chance that only Georgia, Alabama and the Texas/aTm winner get in (even though Ole Miss and Tennessee are both better than Texas and aTm). There's going to be some crying going on.

zero chance the sec gets 3... youre really fishing here.

ACC runner up is at least a 2 loss team... same for Big12 runner up.

BYU and SMU have played 1 ranked team... each other... neither are contenders outside of winning their conference.

Miami hasnt beaten a ranked team all season long.

There is no way any of those schools get in over a 4th sec school unless they win their conference and get the AUTO bid

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

I'm surprised so many are thinking Miami will be left out. They have a blowout win over Florida, which will mean even more if Florida beats Ole Miss. In that case, will Tennessee at 10-2 get in over 11-1 Miami who plays in the ACC title game? And if they lose, it's to SMU.....also a playoff contender. Then heck, you have BYU also with a loud win over SMU (assuming Colorado wins Big 12).

I'm telling you I think there's a real chance that only Georgia, Alabama and the Texas/aTm winner get in (even though Ole Miss and Tennessee are both better than Texas and aTm). There's going to be some crying going on.

Miami is going to finish the regular season having played zero teams in the Top 25. I just think it’s a very poor resume.

BYU has a little bit of a resume but the eye test is lacking. I also think it becomes a moot point for them after Saturday because I think they’re losing again at Arizona State.

 

[OG Goat Holder]

zero chance the sec gets 3... youre really fishing here.

ACC runner up is at least a 2 loss team... same for Big12 runner up.

BYU and SMU have played 1 ranked team... each other... neither are contenders outside of winning their conference.

Miami hasnt beaten a ranked team all season long.

There is no way any of those schools get in over a 4th sec school unless they win their conference and get the AUTO bid

Rankings don't matter until the end.

 

[HuntDawg]

Rankings don't matter until the end.

again. Miami will finish the season playing 0 ranked teams. Their resume isnt going to stack up to ANY of the SEC teams you mentioned.

BYU and SMU have played 1-- each other--- each likely will only have the oppotunity to play 1 more ranked team... Thus again.. their 2 loss resume would pale in comparsion to any of the SEC teams you mentioned.

I realize your just trying to stir up a debate. But there is a better chance the sec gets 5 teams, than only 3.

 

[greenbean.sixpack]

Committee chairman was a lot more non-committal about that. Basically said he trusts the committee to sort that out. I think it really depends on who you lose to and how bad you lose, and where you were ranked before the game. Let's say Alabama loses a close game to Texas, I don't think they'd drop much. But if Georgia gets blown out by Texas A&M, they'd probably drop out.

Concur, the only way it wouldn't matter is if the playoff teams were locked in (but not seeded) before the conference championship games - which isn't going to happen.

 

[patdog]

I'm surprised so many are thinking Miami will be left out. They have a blowout win over Florida, which will mean even more if Florida beats Ole Miss. In that case, will Tennessee at 10-2 get in over 11-1 Miami who plays in the ACC title game? And if they lose, it's to SMU.....also a playoff contender. Then heck, you have BYU also with a loud win over SMU (assuming Colorado wins Big 12).

I'm telling you I think there's a real chance that only Georgia, Alabama and the Texas/aTm winner get in (even though Ole Miss and Tennessee are both better than Texas and aTm). There's going to be some crying going on.

I think Miami will get in as ACC champion. But regardless, a 2-loss ACC team is NOT getting an at-large bid.

 

[OG Goat Holder]

again. Miami will finish the season playing 0 ranked teams. Their resume isnt going to stack up to ANY of the SEC teams you mentioned.

BYU and SMU have played 1-- each other--- each likely will only have the oppotunity to play 1 more ranked team... Thus again.. their 2 loss resume would pale in comparsion to any of the SEC teams you mentioned.

I realize your just trying to stir up a debate. But there is a better chance the sec gets 5 teams, than only 3.

I think Miami will get in as ACC champion. But regardless, a 2-loss ACC team is NOT getting an at-large bid.

What if SMU beats Miami?

Sankey is fighting tooth and nail to make sure the SEC gets 4 teams into the next iteration, whatever it is, in 2026. I don't think it's a slam dunk that the SEC gets 4. Or the B1G.

But there is still a lot of football to be played.

 

[patdog]

What if SMU beats Miami?

Sankey is fighting tooth and nail to make sure the SEC gets 4 teams into the next iteration, whatever it is, in 2026. I don't think it's a slam dunk that the SEC gets 4. Or the B1G.

But there is still a lot of football to be played.

If SMU beats Miami, they'll be the ACC team in the playoff and Miami will go home. Miami is currently only #11 with the 1 loss. Do you seriously think they'd keep that ranking with a 2nd loss? Big 10 is slam dunk getting 4 teams in. No question about it. SEC is about 98% chance of getting 4 teams in. And I'm probably being conservative there.

 

[HuntDawg]

What if SMU beats Miami?

Sankey is fighting tooth and nail to make sure the SEC gets 4 teams into the next iteration, whatever it is, in 2026. I don't think it's a slam dunk that the SEC gets 4. Or the B1G.

But there is still a lot of football to be played.

this isnt hard to figure out:

ACC, Big 12 are 1 bid leagues. Whoever wins their championship is going. The 2 loss resumes arent going to stack up.

Its a slam dunk the SEC is getting 4.... and the odds are far better of them getting 5, than 3... as the sec will likely be the owner of the 1st team out and maybe the 1st two teams out depending on how the cookie crumbles

 

[Darryl Steight]

Hoping the Florida Gators end all speculation Saturday.

The only thing better than that would be... well, I'm not going to say it.