We had a lot of potential on the roster, but we weren't going to be the same as we finished the CWS. We knew Sims was going to be good, we knew what we had in Johnson. It was perfectly reasonable to think that Fristoe would get better rather than worse. But everything else was either an unknown or known but limited (e.g., B Smith). Even if things had worked out, it was always highly unlikely we'd end up looking like 2021. And we keep saying injuries, but it's not clear to me that any injury was devastating other than Sims. Simmons had good stats through three games. I don't think we saw enough of him to know. Auger had good stats and seemed to be promising before getting hurt. Hunt had an ERA of 7.46 through May and it was never below 5.4. Did he have nagging injuries all year?
And of course you can't just say "our pitching sucks now, gott just score more runs". But you can't just say, we had elite pitching in 2021, so we'll just have elite pitching every year and the offense can be just good enough. It was highly unlikely that we were going to be as good pitching, but it didn't seem crazy to think that Kellum Clark, Logan Tanner, Luke Hancock, Mule, Forsythe, and James would all either get a little better or make a big jump, and we'd get some portal help and our offense take a step forward to make up for it. Our pitching imploded rather than taking a small step back and our offense took a small step back rather than improving despite having a lot of ABs coming back. You can't just say, "our offense was barely worse; the problem is that our pitching wasn't one of the best staffs in the country again"