Penn State at 9. Illinois at 19.

blion72

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Oct 30, 2021
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Odds are PS by 18. Seems a bit high. I was thinking more 10-14.
that is a sizeable spread for any top 20 game. I know they usually give 7 for home advantage. if we won by 17 and didn't cover, I would feel like that was a very solid win over a good team. in the end a win is a win though by any margin.
 
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Midnighter

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Marshall and Nitt1300 when they see each other defending Franklin premptively in every single thread….

Blaming Spider-Man GIF


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Grant Green

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Oct 12, 2021
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Odds are PS by 18. Seems a bit high. I was thinking more 10-14.
Wow. I’d put a significant bet on Illinois at +18 if I were a betting person.

As far as betting power ratings go, I have PSU as a 22 point favorite at home for a night game (and I have adjusted Illinois up quite a bit over the season). With the way the Illinois plays, 22 does feel a bit high, but 17 to 18 does not. If the line was set at -10 to -14, it would immediately be bet up.

that is a sizeable spread for any top 20 game. I know they usually give 7 for home advantage. if we won by 17 and didn't cover, I would feel like that was a very solid win over a good team. in the end a win is a win though by any margin.

7 points for HFA is wayyyyy too high. The standard used to be 3 points, but it really varies from 1 to 4. PSU white out and LSU night games can be up to 5 points but that is super high. Here is a study on HFA for all teams....https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-home-field-advantage-2024
 
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