Down goes BYU

[Perd Hapley]

You can now etch it in stone….all CFP at-large bids will go to the SEC, B1G, and, maybe, Notre Dame. 0% chance of two teams from either the ACC or Big 12 from making it.

 

[Dawgg]

You can now etch it in stone….all CFP at-large bids will go to the SEC, B1G, and, maybe, Notre Dame. 0% chance of two teams from the ACC or Big 12 from making it.

I’m not so sure about that.

Colorado is sitting down there at #17 and the Deion hype train is in full effect. If both Colorado and BYU win out until they meet in the Big 12 Championship game and Colorado comes away with the Championship, I could see a scenario where both Colorado and BYU get in, even with the BYU loss today. If Colorado loses the Big 12 Championship, but some other bubble teams also lose, there could be some pressure to put them in just based on how much attention would be brought to their inclusion.

In the ACC, I could see a scenario where SMU and Miami both get in if SMU (currently #14) wins the ACC Championship over Miami (or even vice versa) with sort of the same scenario. Both teams could win out until the ACC Championship. By then, we’re probably seeing Miami back up around 6-7 and SMU up at 9-12.

 

[Perd Hapley]

I’m not so sure about that.

Colorado is sitting down there at #17 and the Deion hype train is in full effect. If both Colorado and BYU win out until they meet in the Big 12 Championship game and Colorado comes away with the Championship, I could see a scenario where both Colorado and BYU get in, even with the BYU loss today. If Colorado loses the Big 12 Championship, but some other bubble teams also lose, there could be some pressure to put them in just based on how much attention would be brought to their inclusion.

A 2-loss BYU has absolutely no chance. You’re forgetting that they needed miracle last second drives to beat a bad Utah team and a really, really bad Oklahoma State team. They just lost at home to 3-6 Kansas. Strength of schedule outside the Top 50. Hell they were only at #6 even while undefeated. The loss they just took is comparable to when Ole Miss lost to Kentucky, except it just happened in mid-November. Their win over Kansas State is also nowhere near as good now, as they are about to dip out of the Top 25.

And a 3-loss Colorado in there? Jesus. They’d have to burn the whole thing down and start over if that nonsense occurred. Just change the acronym from CFP to WWE at that point.

In the ACC, I could see a scenario where SMU and Miami both get in if SMU (currently #14) wins the ACC Championship over Miami (or even vice versa) with sort of the same scenario. Both teams could win out until the ACC Championship. By then, we’re probably seeing Miami back up around 6-7 and SMU up at 9-12.

Don’t see this one either. Too much competition from the SEC and B1G. Assuming SMU wins their last 2, what is their path to passing Ole Miss? Tennessee? Georgia? Bama? Indiana? Ohio State? Notre Dame? Penn State? Maybe even Texas A&M gets in there? Boise State?

Miami will be in the 7-12 range, with SMU outside the Top 12. Every 2-loss or less team from the SEC, B1G, and ND will be assured of being ahead of them. Loser of that ACC title game ain’t making it. I’d say the same about the SEC Championship loser if its Bama vs. A&M. If you’re in the back half and you lose your last game, its hard to see a path.