If you're willing to settle for 8-10 win seasons without challenging, except infrequently, for college and national championships, then Franklin is your guy. And you're right, making a change doesn't guarantee better outcomes. PSU could be worse, maybe a whole lot worse,before the brain-trust gets lucky, if they ever do.
There are downsides to staying the course. The fanbase may grow restive with a program that doesn't challenge at the elite level. That means fewer tickets sold, less money donated , fewer and less lucrative NIL opportunities for players. How likely is this? I have no idea.
More likely is the possibility that Franklin comes to the conclusion that he will never win a national title, a goal that he's articulated, at PSU and he bolts. He isn't sufficiently introspective or analytical to identify his own shortcomings and fix them. He won't even blame it on a lack of resources or insufficient "alignment"; PSU has pretty much given him a blank check. It will come down to recruiting geography. The players he needs to a national title are concentrated elsewhere, so if the mountain isn't coming to Muhammad, Muhammad has to pitch his tent elsewhere, How likely is this? Probably not as high as many may think. Takes two to tango and I'm not sure that he'll be able to find the right dance partner.
Coach Franklin? Texas A&M on line one…