Weather nerds........Milton

dorndawg

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Sep 10, 2012
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Katrina weakened to a 3 before landfall too, but all that time in the gulf as a 5 built a killer storm surge. That and a very shallow shelf and very shallow Tampa Bay have the potential to make this really bad.
Why/how does a shallow bay make it worse?
 

T-TownDawgg

Well-known member
Nov 4, 2015
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Why/how does a shallow bay make it worse?
All that surge energy get pushed upward as the ocean floor rises. A shallow bay will push all that energy and water up and out into surrounding areas designed and built around it that expect protection from storms.

A storm surge straight into a bay especially sinister. Lots of boats and structures expect safety, and they’ll get the opposite.
 

Drebin

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Aug 22, 2012
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Katrina weakened to a 3 before landfall too, but all that time in the gulf as a 5 built a killer storm surge. That and a very shallow shelf and very shallow Tampa Bay have the potential to make this really bad.
Like I said, it will be bad.
 

DAWGSANDSAINTS

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Oct 10, 2022
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Milton should weaken before it hits FL. It is currently taking advantage of near perfect conditions to rapidly intensify, but as it gets closer to FL it is forecast to encounter some pretty significant wind shear which would serve to weaken at least some. It is still forecast to be a major hurricane but shouldn't be a 5 at landfall.
Showing maybe Cat 3 but still significant.
 

Xenomorph

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Feb 15, 2007
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4:00 PM CDT Mon Oct 7
Location: 21.8°N 90.8°W
Moving: E at 10 mph
Min pressure: 905 mb
Max sustained: 180 mph
 

willi13

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Sep 24, 2003
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We moved off Anna Maria Island about 5 years ago but still live in the area. Zones A, B, and C mandatory evacuations. We are in D. Just in from shuttering home. Gonna hunker down!
 
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RocketDawg

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Oct 21, 2011
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It's pretty close to the northern edge of the Yucatan. Maybe that will lower the windspeed a bit from the current 180. But there still plenty of water once it gets away from brushing the land.
 

IBleedMaroonDawg

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Nov 12, 2007
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You have family in the Tampa area. My wife checked on them today. My niece said that there is a solid line of traffic going out of town and there was no gas anywhere.

I think they may have a gas problem. Maybe it was just in one area on the north side of town.
 

IBleedMaroonDawg

Well-known member
Nov 12, 2007
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We’re just north of Tampa and getting ready. Shutters put up and hoping it veers south and weakens. It’s nothing but red and yellow heading north on every road here. Luckily our house was just built a few years ago so it’s got all the coding to withstand a Cat 3. It is going to be bad wherever it hits.
Please keep us informed. We will be praying for you,
 

ckDOG

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Dec 11, 2007
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NO!
Children Peoples GIF
 
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HotMop

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May 8, 2006
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We’re just north of Tampa and getting ready. Shutters put up and hoping it veers south and weakens. It’s nothing but red and yellow heading north on every road here. Luckily our house was just built a few years ago so it’s got all the coding to withstand a Cat 3. It is going to be bad wherever it hits.
Any trees close to your house? That's what destroyed the houses in Panama City.
 
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Arnept

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Nov 26, 2023
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Milton reached a pressure reading of 897mb earlier, which made it the 5th strongest Atlantic hurricane on record.

Good news is that it has slightly weakened since then.
 
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Tigr2ndbase

Member
Jul 12, 2015
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Any trees close to your house? That's what destroyed the houses in Panama City.
Not directly beside. We’re in one of those communities where we aren’t right on top of each other. Got wetlands/preserve on the other side of the lake behind on our house but if those trees hit us then we got major problems everywhere.
 
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