Not the point.
The answer to my question is that DK and FD are not taking these bets because they think that it is negative EV for them.
BWI Sport Betting Thread
- Thread starter Grant Green
- Start date
The answer to my question is that DK and FD are not taking these bets because they think that it is negative EV for them.
That’s understood. But it has nothing to do with my point. You’re chasing excess EV. FD and DK think there’s excess EV there, too. But if there isn’t excess EV there because one or more of the EV components are off, obviously the play doesn’t work. And that’s not about you being wrong, if you’re not doing anything other than chasing excess EV.
Sports betting is all about getting positive EV. period.
If you think that the chargers line is that far off with a number of starters possibly out for a portion of the game, you are welcome to your opinion. I disagree and so do the books. I would recommend you place a bet immediately on the chargers.
General psa for anyone considering this bet, you should expect to lose the majority of the time so set your bet size accordingly.
If the Ravens win the early game, doesn't that mean the Steelers don't have much to play for, whereas the Bengals need to win to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Steelers face Houston as a 5 seed and Baltimore as a 6 seed. It's possible Tomlin won't care (he probably should) but I think he also has incentive to play hard after their recent poor form and to knock out a divisional rival.
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