BWI Sport Betting Thread
- Thread starter Grant Green
- Start date
Yeah, kind of. That was one of the most misleading finals of the season. Washington outgained rutgers 521 to 299. They should have won and covered. Special teams killed them.
Yesterday's facepalm-inducing wagering:
The Good -- Guardians, BYU, and LSU
The Bad -- Pitt, Oklahoma, WVU
The Ugly -- when SC went up 19-14, I hit the live bet for Bama -2 1/2. Hilariously unfortunate.
On to the NFL. Already blew it with the Seahawks on Thursday night. Currently have Bears, under, and Jags team under working.
The Good -- Guardians, BYU, and LSU
The Bad -- Pitt, Oklahoma, WVU
The Ugly -- when SC went up 19-14, I hit the live bet for Bama -2 1/2. Hilariously unfortunate.
On to the NFL. Already blew it with the Seahawks on Thursday night. Currently have Bears, under, and Jags team under working.
So you’re ahead for the weekend? (Is it bad form to ask, bringing in the jinx factor?)
I had Pitt as well and that was maddening. They were kind of in control and then scored zero points in 2H. Gotta give Cal a lot of credit. I thought they would fade as the game went on after that Miami game and lots of recent travel.
Was with you on LSU. that was a sweat! Somewhat fortunate victory but I'll take it.
Grading the look ahead spots. A win is betting against the team with look ahead
5-3
Grant, how do you see the UNL @ IU line moving in the next few days? HR has it at IU -5 right now.
Well, I do have IU at-7.5.
5 is a dead number so let's see where it goes. I'm inclined to stay on the IU train going forward until the lines get too high.
Cignetti seems to be like JF and try to cover spreads late in games.
It was +10000 not 10000-1
edited today I’m way late but will add it’s a bad bet at +10000 but a fabulous bet at 10000-1
Last edited:
It wasn't that bad of a bet considering it took a replay official to stop it from hitting at the end of the game. Just sayin'.It was +10000 not 10000-1
edited today I’m way late but will add it’s a bad bet at +10000 but a fabulous bet at 10000-1
Yes, I think MN meant to say +10000 but said 10000-1 by accident. We're past that.It was +10000 not 10000-1
edited today I’m way late but will add it’s a bad bet at +10000 but a fabulous bet at 10000-1
And agree.
Insignificant. Not sure which game you are referring to, but even if it has happened 2 times this season (instead of once) in about 350-400 games, that still is not better than the 100-1 payout. Needs to happen more than once every 100 games to be positive EV. If we get more than 1 of these games per every 100 games this season, I will admit that it's a good bet.
NFL:
Good -- Daaaaa Bears, Jags team under, buying the 1/2 point so Commanders was a push, Montgomery 1st TD
Bad -- Olave getting concussed and killing my 100-1 TD parlay bet by 2pm, Lions not giving Gibbs the ball on the goal line for my Lions TD parlay
Ugly -- Thinking that the Broncos were a live dog with their defense
Good -- Daaaaa Bears, Jags team under, buying the 1/2 point so Commanders was a push, Montgomery 1st TD
Bad -- Olave getting concussed and killing my 100-1 TD parlay bet by 2pm, Lions not giving Gibbs the ball on the goal line for my Lions TD parlay
Ugly -- Thinking that the Broncos were a live dog with their defense
At least I got out of one of my horrible Over bets last night. As soon as the NYG Clown QB served up what looked like a Micah Hancock set to the defense (in FG range to kill the 1st quarter Over), I immediately took a reduced cash out on the game Over.
As for this week, I'm riding IU and Army like John Wayne rode Little Blackie in True Grit.
As for this week, I'm riding IU and Army like John Wayne rode Little Blackie in True Grit.
I took IU at -5.5. I have them at -7.5 vs NU.
Opening lines
Air Force +7.5 vs Colorado St seems too high. As bad as AF is (looked better this weekend), should be closer to +3.
Ohio +4 at Miami (Oh). I have more like +1.5.
Mia (FL) -4 at Louisville seems light. Maybe more like 6.5 or 7
Tulsa +1.5 at Temple. I have Tulsa as a 3 point fav.
USC -7 at Maryland a bit light. I got -10.
Auburn +6.5 at Missou; I have this Missou as a slight fav (-1ish). Missou has Bama on deck.
Ark +3 vs LSU - I have this close to pick. LSU in serious sandwich spot between Ole Miss and Texas A&M.
Opening lines
Air Force +7.5 vs Colorado St seems too high. As bad as AF is (looked better this weekend), should be closer to +3.
Ohio +4 at Miami (Oh). I have more like +1.5.
Mia (FL) -4 at Louisville seems light. Maybe more like 6.5 or 7
Tulsa +1.5 at Temple. I have Tulsa as a 3 point fav.
USC -7 at Maryland a bit light. I got -10.
Auburn +6.5 at Missou; I have this Missou as a slight fav (-1ish). Missou has Bama on deck.
Ark +3 vs LSU - I have this close to pick. LSU in serious sandwich spot between Ole Miss and Texas A&M.
Last edited:
Misleading box scores. NW deserved the cover, but not the blow out it seemed.
MAC shenanigans - shocking. Akron, Kent, and Buff suddenly look not so bad.
NCST with 9.1 ypp!? (@CDLionFL I got screwed on this one too)
A typical theme - turnovers are killers. I've heard some handicappers that say a TO is worth 4 to 5 points. It often makes sense when you look at box scores like these.
MAC shenanigans - shocking. Akron, Kent, and Buff suddenly look not so bad.
NCST with 9.1 ypp!? (@CDLionFL I got screwed on this one too)
A typical theme - turnovers are killers. I've heard some handicappers that say a TO is worth 4 to 5 points. It often makes sense when you look at box scores like these.
I had Syracuse. I refuse to take NC State in any game the rest of the season.
Must have misread my own misfortune into your bet. Well, damn you then!
First time I've bet them this season. Frosh QB taking over for McCall is pretty good but turns the ball over. I understand you aversion.
I'm a little surprised at how much the market still likes the Jets. Assume the Steelers will take a TON of public money this week.
It's about to like the Jets even more with Davante Adams. Market was probably correct last night. Jets should have won/covered.
A reminder to all to bet the MAC at your own risk. This is one of the more brutal beats I've seen in a while.....
I was dying while watching that on Monday night. Such a great finish to the segment this week. I have every Sportscenter recording for the sole purpose of watching the Bad Beats segment on Monday nights if I miss it live.
Correction to above. Should be 2-8 ATS.
After last weekend, I believe this trend is now 3-10. I'm using the closing numbers, so PSU would be a loss and Minny vs UCLA would be a win (it would be PSU push and Minny loss if you use the opening lines), OSU and UW were both losses.
Candidates this weekend are Oregon at Purdue (awful spot for Oregon too), UCLA at Rutgers, USC at Maryland.
Hoosiers looking good so far. Up 14 and double the yardage. Did I just see Rourke with a hand injury?
Edit- he's back in and looks ok.
Last edited:
Indiana would seem to be a bettor's dream team. Cignetti has it.
It will be interesting to see if he gets better offseason offers.
It will be interesting to see if he gets better offseason offers.
IU, Army, Navy, Taxes.
In addition to the 3 other IU bets, I live bet IU @ -37.5 and laughed at UNL while pressing the enter key.
In addition to the 3 other IU bets, I live bet IU @ -37.5 and laughed at UNL while pressing the enter key.
Last edited:
As Ice Cube once rapped, today was a good day. It started with Brentford scoring a goal 5 minutes into 1st half stoppage time to cash my +125 bet on a goal in the 1st half (thanks VSIN soccer guy). And then it went a little like this...
The Good -- Army (1st half & game), Robert Morris, a +336 ML parlay of Army/Wisky/Indiana/Missouri/Cincy, Stony Brook, Hampton, Navy, Illinois, Tennessee, Miss State, Twerps, Florida
The Bad -- Iowa's no show killing a +275 parlay
The Unfortunate (cuz there's no ugly today) -- Buying a half point on Missouri to lose the juice just to make them a -4. Turned a win into a push. Also, none of Jonathan Marchessault's shot attempts finding the net to cash a 17-1 goals parlay
Yay, me...for once.
The Good -- Army (1st half & game), Robert Morris, a +336 ML parlay of Army/Wisky/Indiana/Missouri/Cincy, Stony Brook, Hampton, Navy, Illinois, Tennessee, Miss State, Twerps, Florida
The Bad -- Iowa's no show killing a +275 parlay
The Unfortunate (cuz there's no ugly today) -- Buying a half point on Missouri to lose the juice just to make them a -4. Turned a win into a push. Also, none of Jonathan Marchessault's shot attempts finding the net to cash a 17-1 goals parlay
Yay, me...for once.
Last edited:
Out of curiosity. Money wagered vs money won ….I’m most interested in net earnings.
Did you take home more than your wagers?
Well, a 11-1-1 record on single plays and the parlays being a net positive, it was a very strong profit day. I don't get into exact numbers but let's just say I'm not throwing honeybees at any of these games. I'm too much Princeton offense instead of Loyola Marymount.
Crazy day. At one point on Friday I had a $.01 balance on HR I had placed so many bets. Ended up at $1300. Withdrew $650 and the rest is going towards the Cignetti Shrine I'm building on my patio.
Get unlimited access today.