BWI Sport Betting Thread

Erial_Lion

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Nov 1, 2021
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Or if it was posted as an "open" on a site like vegasinsider, it could have been a 'game of the year' (preseason) line or something. I've adjusted Michigan down by something like 8 points and now have them just about even with UW. And yeah, 2 to 3 points for HFA (ActionNetwork has it at 2.3 pts for UW) to give UW the edge.
There were a few early books that had it at Mich -1 or -1.5 for a few minutes on Sunday morning, but they were quickly bet towards Wash before the real books opened (and really, it takes little to move it a few points at that point, especially when some dead numbers are involved).
 
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CDLionFL

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Oct 25, 2021
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Bad Beat story time:

I got a $28 bonus bet from Hard Rock yesterday. I decided to throw that free money on a MLB props parlay. Here was the list:

Chourio hit
Contreras hit
Tatis hit
Merrill hit
Urshela no hit
Soler no hit

The top 4 on the board all took care of their hits in the 1st inning. Urshela really didn't threaten anything. Soler had a rip into the gap in his first AB but it got tracked down. 9th inning, 4-0 Padres, Soler hitting 2nd with 1 out. Suarez gets him 0-2. Catcher sets up for a high fastball. Suarez doesn't get it high enough and Soler fights it off for an opposite-field bloop single. Naturally, Suarez gets the next 2 guys out to end the game. Would have paid 18-1.

Try again some other time.
 
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Grant Green

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Oct 12, 2021
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Bad Beat story time:

I got a $28 bonus bet from Hard Rock yesterday. I decided to throw that free money on a MLB props parlay. Here was the list:

Chourio hit
Contreras hit
Tatis hit
Merrill hit
Urshela no hit
Soler no hit

The top 4 on the board all took care of their hits in the 1st inning. Urshela really didn't threaten anything. Soler had a rip into the gap in his first AB but it got tracked down. 9th inning, 4-0 Padres, Soler hitting 2nd with 1 out. Suarez gets him 0-2. Catcher sets up for a high fastball. Suarez doesn't get it high enough and Soler fights it off for an opposite-field bloop single. Naturally, Suarez gets the next 2 guys out to end the game. Would have paid 18-1.

Try again some other time.
It's always the last one on the card that gets you.
 

grinagrin

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Oct 25, 2021
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My bad beat from this weekend.

Lost an 8 game parlay, $1300 payout by .5 point (Louisville lost by 7, had them +6.5)
 

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MtNittany

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Oct 12, 2021
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It's always the last one on the card that gets you.
I had a buddy 30 or so years ago named Fresh Phil. Back in the phone in, write it down bookie days, at one point he had lost 17 NFL and college bets in a row. He calls the bookie to ask about a Hawaii line to try to get some back. Bookie says Hawaii is on the mainland - already kicked off.

Phil: What do you have?
Bookie: All I have is Ice
Phil: What's Ice?
Bookie: Hockey
Phil: I don't know anything about hockey
Bookie: I'm looking at your sheet. You don't know anything about football either.

True story. Phil failed out of FAU and made it to UCF where he became the biggest bookie on campus and ended up buying a failed golf course for $1.5M when still in his twenties.
 
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Grant Green

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Oct 12, 2021
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Some big lookahead spots. Next week:
Ohio State plays Oregon
PSU plays USC (Minnesota actually has some statistic edges on USC too)
Florida plays Tennessee (not sure how much this matters with either team at this point though)
Ole Miss plays LSU and is coming off a tough loss (also looking at South Carolina vs Ole Miss)
Stanford is off Clemson and plays ND next week.
 
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Sep 17, 2024
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24 points seems like a lot give Michigan State.

Oregon hasn't looked dominating, Michigan State held their own against OSU until the referees took over and I think John Smith is going to have MSU motivated for this game against the Ducks. And Oregon looking ahead to OSU.
 
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Grant Green

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Fun fact: Iowa is 4-0 to the over this season. In 3 of the 4 games they have scored enough points to almost cover the over themselves (they actually did vs Ill St.). I've won so many best on Iowa unders over the years, but looks like that trend may be ending. Improved offense and their D is not quite what it has been.
 

Grant Green

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Oct 12, 2021
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How do we feel about Army -3 1/2 in the 1st quarter?
I don't get involved in a lot of quarter/half bets. With quarters, I'm always concerned that there is no incentive to score when the clock is running down. Why quarter and not the whole game?
 

CDLionFL

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Oct 25, 2021
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I don't get involved in a lot of quarter/half bets. With quarters, I'm always concerned that there is no incentive to score when the clock is running down. Why quarter and not the whole game?
I thought I heard something last week about Army being really good in either the first quarter or the first half. Their cover trend was a high percentage. Gotta go dig that fact up before I think about it.
 
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